EFL Trophy
Nov 9, 2021 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Liam Gibson 34' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Gibson 49'
  • goal Kelvin Mellor 54'

Morecambe vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 5, 2021 7.00pm
Hartlepool 2 - 2 Morecambe

Carlisle United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 28, 2021 7.00pm
Carlisle 2 - 0 Everton U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result

Morecambe 34.1%
Draw 26.31%
Carlisle United 39.58%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.25%
Under 2.5 51.75%
Over 3.5 26.48%
Under 3.5 73.52%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 71.16%
Under 0.5 28.84%
Over 1.5 35.3%
Under 1.5 64.7%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 74.34%
Under 0.5 25.66%
Over 1.5 39.44%
Under 1.5 60.56%

Score analysis

Morecambe 34.1%
Draw 26.31%
Carlisle United 39.57%
Morecambe
1-0 @ 9.2%
2-1 @ 7.78%
2-0 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.4%
2-2 @ 5.29%
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 26.31%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 10.06%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 6.85%
1-3 @ 3.86%
0-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.57%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 34
Mar 6, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Globe Arena
  • Sam Lavelle 12' yellowcard
  • Aaron Wildig 32' goal
  • Toumani Diagouraga 37' goal
  • Kelvin Mellor 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Cole Stockton 53' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Alessandra 39'
  • goal Aaron Hayden 79'
League Two Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2020 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Yann Songo'o 1' goal
  • Jon Mellish 3' goal
  • Joe Riley 37' yellowcard
  • George Tanner 87' goal
  • Gavin Reilly 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John O'Sullivan 50'
  • goal Yann Songo'o 79'
  • yellowcard Yann Songo'o 81'
League Two Gameweek 35
Feb 22, 2020 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Brunton Park
  • Omari Patrick 45' goal
  • Elliot Watt 51' yellowcard
  • Nick Anderton 59' yellowcard
  • Aaron Hayden 65' goal
  • Byron Webster 90' yellowcard
  • goal Cole Stockton 18'
  • goal Aaron Wildig 24'
  • yellowcard Jordan Cranston 85'
League Two Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lewis Alessandra 33' yellowcard
  • John O'Sullivan 50' goal
  • Luke Conlan 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hallam Hope 29'
  • goal Hallam Hope 47'
  • yellowcard Jarrad Branthwaite 61'
EFL Trophy Gameweek 10
Nov 12, 2019 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Globe Arena (Morecambe, Lancashire)
  • Andrew Tutte 61' goal
  • Aaron Wildig 67' goal
  • Luke Conlan 91' goal
  • goal Jarrad Branthwaite 26'
League Two Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2019 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Globe Arena (Morecambe, Lancashire)
  • Vadaine Oliver 89' yellowcard
  • Jordan Cranston 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Devitt 15'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Etuhu 40'
  • goal Jack Sowerby 76'
  • yellowcard Anthony Gerrard 89'