Morecambe
0 - 2
Carlisle

Gibson (34')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gibson (49'), Mellor (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Morecambe and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Carlisle United
34.1%	26.31%	39.58%

Both teams to score 52.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.25%

51.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.48%

73.52%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.16%

28.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.3%

64.7%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.34%

25.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.44%

60.56%

Score Analysis

Morecambe 34.1%

Carlisle United 39.57%

Draw 26.31%

Morecambe	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 9.2% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.1%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.4% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.57%