MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 15:00:53| >> :600:3277434:3277434:
Morecambe
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2021 at 7pm UK
Globe Arena
Carlisle United

Morecambe
0 - 2
Carlisle


Gibson (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gibson (49'), Mellor (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Morecambe and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCarlisle United
34.1%26.31%39.58%
Both teams to score 52.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25%51.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48%73.52%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16%28.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3%64.7%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34%25.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44%60.56%
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 34.1%
    Carlisle United 39.57%
    Draw 26.31%
MorecambeDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.2%
2-1 @ 7.78%
2-0 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.1%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.4%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 10.06%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 6.85%
1-3 @ 3.86%
0-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.57%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Carlisle

Morecambe
47.5%
Draw
22.5%
Carlisle United
30.0%
40
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Morecambe
3-1
Carlisle
Wildig (32'), Diagouraga (37'), Stockton (53')
Lavelle (12'), Mellor (45+2')
Hayden (79')
Alessandra (39')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Carlisle
3-1
Morecambe
Songo'o (1' og.), Mellish (3'), Tanner (87')
Riley (37'), Reilly (89')
Songo'o (79')
O'Sullivan (50'), Songo'o (81')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Carlisle
2-2
Morecambe
Patrick (45'), Hayden (65')
Watt (51'), Anderton (59'), Webster (90')
Stockton (18'), Wildig (24')
Cranston (85')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Morecambe
1-1
Carlisle
O'Sullivan (50')
Alessandra (33'), Conlan (57')
Hope (47')
Hope (29'), Branthwaite (61')
Nov 12, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Morecambe
3-1
Carlisle
Tutte (61' pen.), Wildig (67'), Conlan (91')
rhs 2.0
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