Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 35.17% | 26.1% | 38.74% |
| Both teams to score 53.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.32% | 50.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.42% | 72.58% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% | 27.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% | 63.22% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% | 25.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.49% | 60.51% |
| Score Analysis |
Carlisle United 35.17%
Hartlepool United 38.74%
Draw 26.09%
| Carlisle United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.17% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 9.65% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 6.57% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.74% |
How you voted: Carlisle vs Hartlepool
Carlisle United
51.4%Draw
25.7%Hartlepool United
22.9%35


