League Two

League Two | Gameweek 13

Oct 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 2
Carlisle

Telford (27', 30')
Haynes (48')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Riley (1'), Clough (67' pen.)
McDonald (14'), Mellish (22')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Carlisle United
40.27%	27.64%	32.09%

Both teams to score 48.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.65%

57.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.82%

78.17%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11%

27.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.5%

63.5%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67%

33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.41%

69.59%

Score Analysis

Newport County 40.27%

Carlisle United 32.09%

Draw 27.63%

Newport County	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.27%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.09%

League Two

Newport2 - 2Carlisle

Data Analysis

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Newport
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