League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 9, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cian Harries 23' yellowcard
  • Antony Evans 35' goal
  • Harvey Saunders 76' yellowcard
  • Sam Nicholson 86' goal
  • Luke Thomas 88' yellowcard
  • Glenn Whelan 90' yellowcard
  • Harvey Saunders 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Morgan Feeney 16'
  • yellowcard Danny Devine 26'
  • yellowcard Lewis Alessandra 38'
  • yellowcard Jack Armer 60'
  • yellowcard Callum Guy 61'
  • yellowcard Jon Mellish 74'

Bristol Rovers vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
Bristol Rovers 1 - 3 Swindon
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Aaron Collins

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
Carlisle 0 - 2 Forest Green
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Omari Patrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result

Bristol Rovers 27.53%
Draw 26.93%
Carlisle United 45.54%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 43.55%
Under 2.5 56.45%
Over 3.5 22.54%
Under 3.5 77.46%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 64.03%
Under 0.5 35.97%
Over 1.5 27.25%
Under 1.5 72.75%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 75.27%
Under 0.5 24.73%
Over 1.5 40.72%
Under 1.5 59.28%

Score analysis

Bristol Rovers 27.53%
Draw 26.92%
Carlisle United 45.53%
Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.09%
2-1 @ 6.5%
2-0 @ 4.65%
3-1 @ 2.21%
3-0 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 27.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 8.89%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.92%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 12.42%
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-2 @ 8.68%
1-3 @ 4.14%
0-3 @ 4.04%
2-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 45.53%

Head to Head

League Two
Mar 28, 2016 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jack Stacey 11' goal
  • Charlie Wyke 49' goal
  • Tom Miller 74' yellowcard
  • Jason Kennedy 85' goal
  • Jabo Ibehre 90' yellowcard
  • Mark Ellis 90' yellowcard
  • goal Billy Bodin 27'
  • yellowcard Tom Parkes 51'
  • goal Matt Taylor 57'
  • yellowcard Chris Lines 72'
League Two
Nov 14, 2015 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Stuart Sinclair 9' yellowcard
  • Lee Brown 52' yellowcard
  • Mark McChrystal 55' yellowcard
  • Matty Taylor 66' goal
  • Matty Taylor 87' goal
  • Tom Parkes 93' yellowcard
League One
Jan 15, 2011 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paul Thirlwell 41' yellowcard
  • James Berrett 44' goal
  • Craig Curran 57' goal
  • Liam Cooper 73' goal
  • James Berrett 82' goal
  • yellowcard Gary Sawyer 7'
  • redcard Danny Coles 51'
League One
Oct 30, 2010 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Stuart Campbell 39' yellowcard
  • Chris Lines 48' goal
  • Gary Sawyer 90' yellowcard
  • Jeff Hughes 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Berrett 30'
  • yellowcard Tom Taiwo 47'
  • yellowcard Lubo Michalik 81'
  • goal Mike Grella 87'
League One
Apr 2, 2010 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Thirlwell 5' yellowcard
  • Matty Robson 9' yellowcard
  • Ian Harte 45' yellowcard
  • Ian Harte 56' goal
  • Jason Price 61' goal
  • Ian Harte 72' goal
  • yellowcard Stuart Campbell 21'
  • redcard Jeff Hughes 55'
  • goal Paul Heffernan 57'
League One
Nov 14, 2009 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Carl Regan 28' yellowcard
  • Jo Kuffour 35' goal
  • Jeff Hughes 82' goal
  • Chris Lines 90' goal
  • Andy Williams 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ian Harte 21'
  • yellowcard Tom Taiwo 22'
  • goal Richard Keogh 72'