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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 10
Oct 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Forest Green Rovers

Carlisle
0 - 2
Forest Green


Dickenson (45+2'), Abrahams (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Matt (29'), Cadden (32')
Hendry (60')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Forest Green Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawForest Green Rovers
27.84%26.32%45.84%
Both teams to score 50.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.99%54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.56%75.44%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.59%34.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.88%71.11%
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49%23.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45%57.54%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 27.84%
    Forest Green Rovers 45.84%
    Draw 26.32%
Carlisle UnitedDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 8.63%
2-1 @ 6.67%
2-0 @ 4.6%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 1.72%
3-0 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 27.84%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 8.09%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 11.71%
1-2 @ 9.05%
0-2 @ 8.48%
1-3 @ 4.37%
0-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.58%
0-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.84%