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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 27.84% | 26.32% | 45.84% |
| Both teams to score 50.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.99% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.56% | 75.44% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.59% | 34.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.88% | 71.11% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% | 23.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.45% | 57.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-1 @ 6.67% 2-0 @ 4.6% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.72% 3-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.84% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 11.71% 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-2 @ 8.48% 1-3 @ 4.37% 0-3 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.84% |