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Championship header 2

League Two

Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Carlisle United

Crawley
2 - 1
Carlisle

Nichols (32'), Tsaroulla (90')
Lynch (35'), Ferry (58'), Francomb (78'), Hessenthaler (80'), Tsaroulla (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mellish (83')
Armer (52')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 26.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.06%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-0 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawCarlisle United
26.15%26.61%47.24%
Both teams to score 48.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.91%56.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.84%77.16%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.08%36.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29%73.7%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25%23.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.11%57.89%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 26.15%
    Carlisle United 47.23%
    Draw 26.61%
Crawley TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 6.26%
2-0 @ 4.35%
3-1 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.49%
3-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 26.15%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 8.77%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 12.6%
0-2 @ 9.06%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-3 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 4.33%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-4 @ 1.56%
1-4 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.23%

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