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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 35.75% | 27.54% | 36.71% |
| Both teams to score 49.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.5% | 56.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.51% | 77.49% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.85% | 30.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% | 66.29% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% | 29.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.42% | 65.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.75% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 8.91% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.46% Total : 36.7% |