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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 50.47% | 26.86% | 22.67% |
| Both teams to score 44.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.55% | 59.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.18% | 79.82% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% | 23.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.15% | 57.86% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.98% | 42.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.55% | 78.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 14.34% 2-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 8.95% 3-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.44% Total : 50.46% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 8.64% 1-2 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.12% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.13% Total : 22.67% |