League Two Gameweek 9
Sep 25, 2021 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Corey Whelan 4' goal
  • Alistair Smith 37' goal
  • Ben Goodliffe 57' yellowcard
  • Alistair Smith 70' goal
  • David Ajiboye 81' goal
  • yellowcard Manasse Mampala 56'
  • yellowcard Brennan Dickenson 56'
  • redcard Manasse Mampala 71'

Sutton United vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
Exeter 2 - 0 Sutton
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
David Ajiboye

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
Carlisle 2 - 2 Scunthorpe
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Omari Patrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result

Sutton United 38.25%
Draw 28.72%
Carlisle United 33.03%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.43%

Goals

Over 2.5 38.96%
Under 2.5 61.04%
Over 3.5 18.97%
Under 3.5 81.02%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5 69.13%
Under 0.5 30.87%
Over 1.5 32.84%
Under 1.5 67.15%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 65.72%
Under 0.5 34.28%
Over 1.5 29.02%
Under 1.5 70.98%

Score analysis

Sutton United 38.24%
Draw 28.71%
Carlisle United 33.02%
Sutton United
1-0 @ 12.43%
2-1 @ 7.83%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 38.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.71%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 11.32%
1-2 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.02%