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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Sutton United |
| 43.66% | 26.6% | 29.74% |
| Both teams to score 50.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.81% | 54.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.4% | 75.6% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% | 24.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.83% | 59.17% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.94% | 33.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.35% | 69.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.66% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.74% |