League Two

League Two | Gameweek 4

Aug 21, 2021 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
4 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Jay (3', 15'), Dieng (22'), Kite (24')
Edwards (87')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Finley (70')
Baldwin (24'), Finley (59')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Bristol Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Bristol Rovers
39.45%	29.12%	31.44%

Both teams to score 43.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.36%

62.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.8%

82.2%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.05%

30.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.75%

67.25%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.72%

36.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.93%

73.07%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 39.44%

Bristol Rovers 31.43%

Draw 29.11%

Exeter City	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 13.17% 2-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.09% Total : 39.44%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.11%	0-1 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.93% Total : 31.43%