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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Stevenage |
| 31.65% | 29.49% | 38.86% |
| Both teams to score 43.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.2% | 63.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.96% | 83.04% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.24% | 36.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.45% | 73.55% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.1% | 31.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.65% | 68.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 6.71% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.86% Total : 31.64% | 1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.48% | 0-1 @ 13.39% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.85% Total : 38.85% |