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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 39.36% | 26.93% | 33.71% |
| Both teams to score 50.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.7% | 54.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.31% | 75.69% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% | 26.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.71% | 62.29% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% | 30.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% | 66.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.36% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 3.03% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.71% |