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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 37.05% | 28.53% | 34.42% |
| Both teams to score 46.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.78% | 60.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.59% | 80.41% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% | 31.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.46% | 67.54% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% | 32.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% | 69.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 3.01% 3-0 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.01% Total : 37.05% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 11.41% 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.42% |