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Championship header 2

League Two

Exeter City
League Two | Gameweek 30
Apr 27, 2021 at 7pm UK
St. James' Park
Grimsby Town

Exeter
3 - 2
Grimsby Town

Waterfall (33' og.), Fisher (83'), Bowman (89')
Collins (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
John-Lewis (41' pen.), Matete (58')
Menayese (90+7')
Matete (61')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Grimsby Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawGrimsby Town
55.63%25.66%18.7%
Both teams to score 42.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.74%59.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.33%79.67%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59%21.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59%54.4%
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.77%46.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.1%81.89%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 55.62%
    Grimsby Town 18.7%
    Draw 25.66%
Exeter CityDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 15.25%
2-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 9.07%
3-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 4.66%
4-0 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 1.8%
4-1 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 55.62%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 9.9%
2-2 @ 3.5%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 7.64%
1-2 @ 4.54%
0-2 @ 2.95%
1-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 18.7%

How you voted: Exeter vs Grimsby Town

Exeter City
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Grimsby Town
0.0%
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