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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Exeter City |
| 28.84% | 26.19% | 44.97% |
| Both teams to score 51.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.02% | 52.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.42% | 74.58% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% | 33.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.31% | 69.69% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% | 23.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.5% | 57.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 8.59% 2-1 @ 6.88% 2-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 1.84% 3-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.84% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.77% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 11.26% 1-2 @ 9.02% 0-2 @ 8.16% 1-3 @ 4.36% 0-3 @ 3.94% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.82% Total : 44.97% |