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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 40%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 40% | 26.06% | 33.93% |
| Both teams to score 53.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.27% | 50.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.37% | 72.62% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% | 24.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.39% | 59.61% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% | 28.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.79% | 64.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.6% Total : 40% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.93% |