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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Colchester United |
| 33.19% | 26.87% | 39.94% |
| Both teams to score 50.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.83% | 54.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.42% | 75.58% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% | 30.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.13% | 66.87% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% | 26.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.21% | 61.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 5.7% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.19% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 10.78% 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.93% |