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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 52.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 52.52% | 24.86% | 22.62% |
| Both teams to score 49.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.74% | 52.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.04% | 73.96% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% | 19.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.01% | 51.99% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.01% | 37.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.24% | 74.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% 2-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.77% Total : 52.51% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.31% 1-2 @ 5.72% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.49% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.62% |