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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 48%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newport County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Newport County |
| 27.21% | 24.79% | 48% |
| Both teams to score 54.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.8% | 48.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.64% | 70.36% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.16% | 31.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.72% | 68.28% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.87% | 20.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.61% | 52.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 7.34% 2-1 @ 6.73% 2-0 @ 4.2% 3-1 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.21% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 9.42% 0-2 @ 8.23% 1-3 @ 5.04% 0-3 @ 4.4% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.81% Total : 48% |