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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%).
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Newport County |
| 35.74% | 27.35% | 36.91% |
| Both teams to score 49.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.23% | 55.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.1% | 76.9% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% | 29.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.13% | 65.86% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% | 29.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.01% | 64.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.66% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 8% 0-2 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.9% |