League Two

League Two | 1st Leg

May 18, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 0
Forest Green

(Newport County win 5-4 on aggregate)

Dolan (31'), Collins (56')
Sheehan (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bernard (19')

The Match

Match Report

County won 2-0 at home to Forest Green in the first leg of their League Two play-off semi-final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
39.09%	29.33%	31.57%

Both teams to score 43.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.68%

63.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.3%

82.69%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49%

31.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.1%

67.9%

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.44%

36.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.65%

73.34%

Score Analysis

Newport County 39.09%

Forest Green Rovers 31.57%

Draw 29.32%

Newport County	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 13.3% 2-1 @ 7.73% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.95% Total : 39.09%	1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.32%	0-1 @ 11.59% 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.89% Total : 31.57%

How you voted: Newport vs Forest Green

Newport County

66.0%

Draw

19.1%

Forest Green Rovers

14.9%