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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 55.44% | 25.25% | 19.31% |
| Both teams to score 44.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.83% | 57.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.97% | 78.03% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% | 20.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.79% | 53.22% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.72% | 44.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.65% | 80.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 14.42% 2-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 4.87% 4-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.24% Total : 55.43% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 4.79% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.31% |