League Two

League Two | Gameweek 43

Apr 20, 2021 at 7pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 0
Crawley

Shephard (52'), Lewis (90+10')
Hartigan (58'), Sheehan (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Davies (17'), Tunnicliffe (83')
Nichols (89')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Crawley Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Crawley Town
39.75%	28.13%	32.12%

Both teams to score 46.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.86%

59.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.42%

79.58%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.96%

29.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.05%

64.95%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.08%

33.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.41%

70.59%

Score Analysis

Newport County 39.75%

Crawley Town 32.11%

Draw 28.13%

Newport County	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 12.18% 2-1 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 7.53% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.63% Total : 39.75%	1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.85% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 10.65% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.11%

League Two

Newport2 - 0Crawley

Data Analysis

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