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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 42.73% | 27.09% | 30.17% |
| Both teams to score 49.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.11% | 55.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23% | 76.99% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% | 25.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.14% | 60.86% |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% | 33.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% | 70.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.73% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.7% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.48% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.17% |