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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Colchester United |
| 34.71% | 27.59% | 37.7% |
| Both teams to score 48.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.24% | 56.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.3% | 77.7% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.06% | 30.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.77% | 67.23% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% | 29.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.99% | 65.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.71% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 11.11% 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-2 @ 6.86% 1-3 @ 3.31% 0-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.7% |