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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Port Vale |
| 42.03% | 26.42% | 31.54% |
| Both teams to score 51.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.2% | 52.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.58% | 74.42% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% | 24.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.56% | 59.44% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% | 31.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.64% | 67.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.03% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 2% Other @ 2.98% Total : 31.54% |