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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Port Vale |
42.03% | 26.42% | 31.54% |
Both teams to score 51.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2% | 52.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.58% | 74.42% |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.15% | 24.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.56% | 59.44% |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.95% | 31.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.64% | 67.36% |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.03% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 2% Other @ 2.98% Total : 31.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |