Port Vale

2 - 1

Newport

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.