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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 56.39% | 24.21% | 19.4% |
| Both teams to score 47.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.68% | 53.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.13% | 74.87% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% | 18.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.82% | 50.18% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.06% | 41.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.61% | 78.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 13.17% 2-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 5.34% 4-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.07% Total : 56.38% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 6.84% 1-2 @ 4.97% 0-2 @ 2.97% 1-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.97% Total : 19.4% |