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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 39.99% | 26.96% | 33.05% |
| Both teams to score 50.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.47% | 54.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.12% | 75.89% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% | 26.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.02% | 61.98% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% | 30.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.81% | 67.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.98% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 9.7% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.06% |