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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 43.88% | 26.83% | 29.29% |
| Both teams to score 49.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.74% | 55.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.51% | 76.49% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% | 25.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.32% | 59.68% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.04% | 33.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.37% | 70.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.5% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.32% Total : 29.29% |