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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 35.27% | 26.83% | 37.9% |
| Both teams to score 51.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.3% | 53.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.81% | 75.19% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.93% | 29.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.02% | 64.98% |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% | 27.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37% | 63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.27% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 7.99% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 6.66% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.89% |