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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 49.11% | 24.44% | 26.45% |
| Both teams to score 54.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.78% | 47.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.55% | 69.45% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.72% | 19.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.99% | 51.01% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.09% | 31.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.64% | 68.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 5.23% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.09% Total : 49.11% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.03% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.69% Total : 26.45% |