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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Oldham Athletic

Carlisle
1 - 3
Oldham

Kayode (35')
Tanner (70'), Anderton (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hilssner (72' pen.), Bahamboula (78'), Piergianni (86')
Diarra (33')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Oldham Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawOldham Athletic
49.11%24.44%26.45%
Both teams to score 54.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.78%47.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.55%69.45%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.72%19.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.99%51.01%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.09%31.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.64%68.36%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 49.11%
    Oldham Athletic 26.45%
    Draw 24.43%
Carlisle UnitedDrawOldham Athletic
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 8.34%
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 49.11%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.15%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.03%
1-2 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 26.45%