Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
