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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 48.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 48.6% | 26.4% | 25.01% |
| Both teams to score 47.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.93% | 56.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.85% | 77.15% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.88% | 23.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.03% | 56.97% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.09% | 37.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.32% | 74.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 12.83% 2-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 9.12% 3-0 @ 4.59% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-1 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.74% Total : 48.59% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 8.5% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.63% Total : 25.01% |