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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 41.05% | 26.48% | 32.46% |
| Both teams to score 51.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.2% | 52.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.58% | 74.42% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% | 25.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.85% | 60.14% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% | 30.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.37% | 66.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 7.26% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.44% Total : 41.04% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.46% |