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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 45.78% | 24.6% | 29.62% |
| Both teams to score 56.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.09% | 45.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.78% | 68.22% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% | 20.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.57% | 52.43% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% | 28.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% | 64.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.78% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 5.82% 2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.23% 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.62% |