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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Southend United |
| 41.8% | 27.87% | 30.32% |
| Both teams to score 47.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.31% | 58.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.77% | 79.23% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% | 27.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.77% | 63.23% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.01% | 34.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.26% | 71.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% 2-1 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.83% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 6.86% 0-2 @ 5.34% 1-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.14% Total : 30.32% |