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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.98%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 28.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-2 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Southend United win it was 1-0 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Stevenage |
| 28.14% | 29.88% | 41.98% |
| Both teams to score 40.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.12% | 65.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.5% | 84.5% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.29% | 40.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.71% | 77.29% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% | 31.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% | 67.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 5.97% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 1.79% 3-0 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.3% Total : 28.14% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 12.66% 2-2 @ 3.49% Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.87% | 0-1 @ 14.78% 0-2 @ 8.63% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-3 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 3.02% 2-3 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.97% |