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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 48.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 25.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Stevenage |
| 48.19% | 26.44% | 25.37% |
| Both teams to score 47.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.01% | 55.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.92% | 77.08% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% | 23.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.81% | 57.19% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.45% | 37.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.67% | 74.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% 2-0 @ 9.29% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.71% Total : 48.18% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.69% Total : 25.37% |