Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.