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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 29.4% | 27.1% | 43.5% |
| Both teams to score 48.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.78% | 56.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.73% | 77.27% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.62% | 34.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.91% | 71.09% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% | 25.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.46% | 60.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 6.84% 2-0 @ 5.02% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.4% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 11.99% 1-2 @ 8.72% 0-2 @ 8.17% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.49% |