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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Southend United |
| 49.53% | 26.68% | 23.79% |
| Both teams to score 45.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.03% | 57.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.33% | 78.67% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% | 23.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.46% | 57.55% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.91% | 40.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.26% | 76.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 13.64% 2-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 9.03% 3-0 @ 4.77% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.56% Total : 49.53% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.26% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.34% Total : 23.79% |