League Two

League Two | Gameweek 23

Jan 9, 2021 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
3 - 0
Grimsby Town

Brisley (8'), Rodney (15'), Waterfall (60' og.)
Joyce (11'), Brisley (69')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Wright (86')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Grimsby Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Grimsby Town
47.32%	26.2%	26.48%

Both teams to score 49.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.64%

54.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.26%

75.73%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.03%

22.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.24%

56.75%

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.3%

35.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.52%

72.47%

Score Analysis

Port Vale 47.32%

Grimsby Town 26.48%

Draw 26.2%

Port Vale	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 12.06% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.87% 3-1 @ 4.48% 3-0 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.86% Total : 47.32%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 8.2% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 8.45% 1-2 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 4.35% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.48%