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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Morecambe |
| 49.53% | 26.21% | 24.26% |
| Both teams to score 47.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.08% | 55.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.98% | 77.03% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% | 22.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.74% | 56.26% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% | 38.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.75% | 75.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% 2-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.85% Total : 49.52% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 3.97% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.54% Total : 24.26% |