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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Stevenage |
| 46.53% | 26.58% | 26.89% |
| Both teams to score 48.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.48% | 55.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.3% | 76.7% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% | 23.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% | 58.03% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.01% | 36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.23% | 72.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.62% Total : 46.53% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.48% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 1.94% Total : 26.89% |