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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 37.54% | 27.57% | 34.89% |
| Both teams to score 49.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.33% | 56.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.37% | 77.63% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% | 29.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.93% | 65.07% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% | 30.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.95% | 67.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 6.82% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.53% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 8.97% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 6.23% 1-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.1% Total : 34.88% |