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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 47.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.53%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 25.1% | 27.45% | 47.45% |
| Both teams to score 44.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.32% | 59.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.01% | 79.99% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.16% | 39.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.49% | 76.5% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% | 25.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.01% | 59.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% 2-1 @ 5.86% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.31% 3-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.38% Total : 25.1% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 13.84% 0-2 @ 9.53% 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-3 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 4.03% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.51% 1-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.17% Total : 47.45% |