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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Stevenage |
| 45.54% | 28.2% | 26.25% |
| Both teams to score 43.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.47% | 61.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.62% | 81.38% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% | 27.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% | 62.4% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.14% | 39.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.48% | 76.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 14.09% 2-0 @ 9.22% 2-1 @ 8.48% 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.82% Total : 45.54% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.39% Total : 26.25% |