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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 29.6% | 27.19% | 43.21% |
| Both teams to score 48.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.55% | 56.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.54% | 77.45% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.65% | 34.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.95% | 71.05% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% | 25.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.12% | 60.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% 2-1 @ 6.86% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.6% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 12.01% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 8.12% 1-3 @ 3.91% 0-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.2% |