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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 30.83% | 27.04% | 42.13% |
| Both teams to score 49.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.53% | 55.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% | 76.65% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% | 32.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% | 69.5% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% | 26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.97% | 61.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.83% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 11.53% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 7.77% 1-3 @ 3.87% 0-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.13% |